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Betting Breakdown – Week 12: Eagles vs Seahawks

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Nov 22, 2019
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When the odds opened for this game last week, the sports betting world was perplexed by the Philadelphia Eagles being listed as 2.5 point favorites over the Seattle Seahawks. We all know the common staple of home-field advantage is worth 3 points, but it still was an absolute head-scratcher. The Seahawks are 8-2, have the MVP frontrunner at QB, ended the 49ers perfect season in their last game, and are coming off of a week of rest with their Bye Week.

On the other hand, the Eagles are coming off of an extremely tough loss against the reigning Super Bowl Champion Patriots, with Wentz and the offense coming off of abysmal performance. Granted, Wentz and the Eagles were without two of their biggest offensive players in Alshon Jeffery and Jordan Howard, not to mention losing Lane Johnson early in the game to a concussion. To make matters worse for the Eagles, all three of these players’ statuses are still up in the air for Sunday..

So we must ask again, what is up with this line?

Well, the public has spoken, and with a huge influx of money going on Seattle, the line has had quite the adjustment. As of Friday morning, DraftKings Sportsbook has the Eagles as only 1 point favorites.

UPDATE: After an absolute hammering from the public with an estimated 75% of the money being on the Seahawks, the Eagles are now 1.5pt UNDERDOGS as of Sunday morning.

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Photo: Joe Nicholson – USA Today Sports

Let’s break down some key betting trends for the Eagles this season.

  • The Eagles are 3-2 at home this season. With wins coming against the Redskins, Jets, and Bears, and losses coming from the Lions, and Patriots.
  • The Eagles are an overall 4-6 against the spread (ATS), or 40%. 22nd in the NFL.
  • The Eagles have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five home games following a loss.
  • The Eagles have failed to cover the spread in the last two matchups with the Seahawks, once as a favorite and once as an underdog. However, both games were on the road.
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Photo: Steve Dykes / Getty Images

Seahawks Betting Trends

  • The Seahawks are an incredible 5-0 on the road this season.
  • The Seahawks are 3-0 against the spread (ATS) as a road team this season.
  • The Seahawks are an overall 5-5 against the spread (ATS), 50%, 19th in the NFL.
  • The Seahawks are on a 3 game winning streak.
  • The Seahawks have covered the spread the last 9 times they’ve been underdogs.
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Seattlepi.com

Over or Under?

The Over/Under as of Friday morning is listed at 48. What do the stats say?

  • The Seahawks average 27.5 points scored per game, the Eagles average 23.4, for a total of 50.9 between the two teams.
  • The Seahawks Average TOTAL game points (Both them and their opponents) is 52.9. The Eagles average total game points is 46.4. The average total game point totals of both teams is 49.65.
  • Each of the last seven day games against NFC East opponents has gone UNDER the total points line.
  • The average total points per game at Lincoln Financial Field is 42.
  • There is a 90% chance of rain on Sunday in Philadelphia. If this holds true, expect lots of long, methodical running drives. Under may be the play?
    Screen Shot 2019-11-22 at 10.09.13 AM

    Via: Google Weather

  • Live Betting Trends

  • The Seahawks have not lost a game that they have been leading at halftime this season. The Eagles are 20% when being down at halftime. Keep that in mind if Seattle has a lead at halftime.
  • The Seahawks are undefeated in close games (within 3 points,) the Eagles are winless. If it feels like it’s going to close, a live bet on the Seahawks may be the play.
  • Each of the last two Seahawks games have gone to overtime.

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Player Props/Game Prop Trends

  • Tyler Lockett has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Seahawks last five games following a road win.
  • Zach Ertz has scored a touchdown in the last four home games against NFC West opponents.
  • The home team has won the first quarter money line in eight of the last nine Eagles games.

Featured Image: The Philadelphia Inquirer / Paul Domovitch

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By Jesse Giuffrida
Typical South Philly Kid. Die Hard Eagles and Sixers fan. Eagles Nation Manager | Writer, Eagles Nation Twitter/Facebook Admin ... More about Jesse Giuffrida
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