(13-2) Ohio vs  (9-7) Miami of Ohio: Ohio -1

Since there’s two Ohio teams here, for clarity, I’m going with the Ohio University Bobcats.  Simply put, Ohio is 13-2 this season with those two losses coming against Kentucky and LSU.  Since their loss to LSU, Ohio has rattled off 8 straight victories.  On the flipside of the coin, Miami (OH), have been nothing but lackluster and are yet to have a significant win.  The nail in the coffin for this pick is the matchup history, with Ohio going 17-3 in the last 20 meetings between the two teams.  If Miami (OH) wins this one, it’s simply a statistical anomaly, and for some reason the Bobcats are just one point favorites.

 

(14-2) Wisconsin vs (9-6) Northwestern: Wisconsin -2.5

The 8th ranked Badgers travel to Northwestern to take on the Wildcats who are coming off a great win against 10th ranked Michigan State.  That was without a doubt the highlight of a mediocre 2022 season for Northwestern.  Wisconsin has been rock solid this year, going 3-1 against ranked opponents, 3-1 in road games, and 3-1 ATS in those road games.  This is a bet on the Badgers, but also a fade of the Wildcats.  Northwestern just had a hard fought emotional victory at Michigan State (Minneapolis Miracle Theory) and is on a three game losing streak at home.  Everything points to Wisconsin -2.5 here.

 

(14-3) Iona vs (10-5) Monmouth: Iona -2.5

Last year’s march tournament was a reminder to all of us that Rick Pitino was exiled and forced to coach MAAC basketball, and to little surprise, has found nothing but tremendous success at Iona.  This year is no different, Iona is 14-3, undefeated in conference play, and 16-7-1 ATS in their last 24 road games.  They’ll be taking on Monmouth, who has been a pleasant surprise this year, however it seems as if the Hawks have come crashing down after two terrible back to back losses to Saint Petersburg and Marist.  Roll with Pitino and the Gaels to take care of business in Jersey.

 

Drew Bishop’s Pick:

Islanders ML (-125) @ Philadelphia Flyers/Under 5.5 (-135)

*Parlay: Islanders ML x Under 5.5 (+207)

Let’s do that hockey!

Since the inauguration of “Trust the Picks” Josh and myself have bet on the NFL, NBA, and NCAAB. Now, we venture into new territory.

NHL betting is stark in contrast to the rules of the road for the sports listed above. Hockey rarely relies on spreads and a profitable gambler would be wise to keep their eyes on goalies. Just like quarterbacks, a good goalie can save your lock, a bad goalie can tank even the best of rosters.

But above all else, betting hockey is about finding the hot team and riding them to a winning ticket every other day. Take the 2019 Stanley Cup Champion St. Louis Blues for example. They had the worst odds in hockey to win the Cup at midseason, only to go on an 11 game winning streak in January/February. They followed it up by winning 8 of their last 10 going into the playoffs, and the rest is history.

Examples like these exist every season, and as we examine tonight’s slate, there is one team that is on fire facing another team that has had the season from hell.

The Islanders and the Flyers face one another in the second game of a back-to-back series. New York has won 4 of their last 5, while the Flyers are on their second eight-game losing streak of the season. They fired head coach Alain Vigneault on the eighth game of the first losing streak and promoted assistant coach Mike Yeo as interim. Rough. Yeo has not changed that the Flyers have had a down year offensively and things are still looking bleak after the report from Jordan Hall of NBCSP that Sean Couturier (6G, 11A) is not expected to return soon (Upper body, COVID-19 Protocols).

I understand that most readers of Philadelphia Sports Nation’s betting page will be Flyers fans, but this is about making money. Fading Philly not only during this game, but games down the road will be very profitable. They are a squad with not a lot to fight for and against a Barry Trotz team that is built to slow the game, I don’t expect much success from the Flyers.

If you’re just too loyal to fade Philadelphia, that’s understandable. Take the under. The Islanders rank 1st in the league in save percentages at .924 and rank 28th in Goals For per game (GF/G) with 2.29. Trotz has staked his claim on a stout back line and this season has had to rely on it even more with lacking offensive depth. Meanwhile, the Flyers haven’t scored 3 goals in a hockey game since January 1st. Their offense isn’t much better than New York’s, ranking 25th in GF/G with 2.50. Carter Hart will be in net Tuesday night and while he hasn’t looked like a star, he’s a much better option than backup Martin Jones. With both teams struggling on the power play all year, this game has under written all over it. Beware of the empty net down the stretch, but take under 5.5 and watch some good old-fashioned boring hockey

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