Eagles Picks and Predictions: BGN Over/Unders Edition
On BGN radio #326, Brandon and Jimmy made predictions for some Eagles over/under for this upcoming season.
Shout out to Brandon Lee Gowton of Bleeding Green Nation and Jimmy Kempski of PhillyVoice for allowing me to join in and make some picks.
Here are three of my picks for some of the over/under they came up with.
Marcus Mariota Starts // O/U 1.5
Marcus Mariota was destined to become an Eagle at some point. After years of constant rumors and reports about him coming to Philly, it finally happened. He is going to be the backup to Hurts, but there are plenty of ways he can start more than one game. Hurts has often shown his toughness, but his play style does not come without some injuries.
Per DraftSharks injury analytics, Hurts has a 12% chance of missing a game due to injury this upcoming season and is projected to miss 1.10 games. In 2021 he missed one game, and in 2022 he missed two. Assuming he does miss one game to injury, I still believe that the Eagles have a chance to play a meaningless week 17 game with the roster they have.
In that scenario, Hurts and most of the other starters would get to rest. For Marcus Mariota, O/U 1.5 games started; I’m going with the OVER.
More Receiving Yards // AJ Brown or DeVonta Smith
This Eagles offense is just as loaded as last year, and we can expect another huge season from both of these guys. Last year Brown had 1,496 receiving yards, and Smith had 1,196 yards. Brown saw 160 targets last year and hauled in 95 catches. Smith wasn’t far behind at 149 targets but had 103 catches. Smith also played 88 more snaps than Brown last year.
Brown was clearly more of a deep ball receiver, while Smith showed his finesse and route-running skills on shorter routes. Teams might be more willing to try and stop the deep ball to AJ Brown, leaving Smith in a great spot to continue his production.
For those who I think will have more receiving yards, I’m going with DeVonta Smith.
Dallas Goedert Receiving Yards // O/U 830.5
Dallas Goedert has been an awesome number-one tight end since the departure of Zach Ertz. Last year, Goedert missed five games after the Washington Commanders tried to rip his face off. In the 12 games he did play, he pulled in 55 catches on 69 targets and put up 702 yards. In 2021, which was his best-receiving yards season, he had 830 yards. He always misses a few games due to injury, which does not help his receiving numbers. The Eagles added D’Andre Swift and Rashaad Penny, and they might view them as better pass-catching backs than Miles Sanders was.
This would lead to a few fewer targets for Goedert. That, the amazing receiving duo we have in Brown/ Smith, and Goederts injury history make it hard for me to see him getting more than 830.5 yards. I’m going with the UNDER.
Thanks again to Brandon and Jimmy for allowing me to participate in this fun activity.
Give them a follow on Twitter @BrandonGowton and @JimmyKempski.
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Categorized:Eagles