Predictions for 2023 Eagles-Related Over/Unders
Training camp is still around a month away, but in the meantime, consumers of the Philadelphia Eagles can partake in making predictions via sports betting.
FanDuel has a few Eagles-based O/U’s on their online sportsbook, so let’s take a stab at them leading up to the 2023 season.
Regular Season Wins O/U // 11.5
The Eagles went 14-3 last season, 14-1 in games where Jalen Hurts was healthy. Of course, the chances of them repeating such a season are slim for several reasons. They had great injury luck relative to the rest of the league, the defensive personnel is probably a little worse this year, their schedule is much more difficult, and (obviously) winning 14 games in a season is very rare in and of itself. None of that is to say that the team will not be good this year, though. They certainly will. Their roster is still loaded, and they have one of the two best players in the NFL. However, they are very likely to witness a slight decrease in the win column this season.
Will it drop below 12? That is a more difficult question. Even if the Eagles are very good, I would be floored if they did not lose at least 2 games from Weeks 9-15. They have some potentially difficult opponents outside of that stretch as well, including the Jets and the Dolphins, but they both open and end the season with several favorable matchups on paper.
Overall, I think the Eagles are going to be one of the few best teams in the league once again and should manage to win their fair share of difficult games. They finish 12-5, and I honestly think 13 wins might be more likely than 11.
I will say Over 11.5 wins
Jalen Hurts O/Us // 3600.5 Passing Yards, 21.5 Passing TDs
3,600 passing yards amounts to around 212 yards per game (assuming he stays healthy). Last season, Hurts had 3701 yards and 22 passing touchdowns in 15 games, and that included a lot of run-heavy gameplans plus weeks where Hurts sat at the end of the game in blowout wins.
There is more potential for the Eagles needing to pass the ball more throughout the game this season as they face more challenging offenses on the other end. These lines feel very low to me.
Over 3600.5 Passing yards, Over 21.5 Passing TDs
A.J. Brown O/Us // 1125.5 Receiving Yards, 8.5 Receiving TDs
Brown finished with 1496 yards and 11 touchdowns in 2022. I do not think he is going to reach those marks again, given the continued emergence of DeVonta Smith, Dallas Goedert (hopefully) being healthy for the full season, and D’Andre Swift demanding more touches through the air compared to Miles Sanders.
These lines are fair, but Brown is inevitably going to dominate a few games this year deep down the field. I do not think he will have trouble surpassing a roughly 66-yard-per-game average.
I will say Over 1125.5 Receiving Yards but Under 8.5 Receiving TDs
DeVonta Smith O/Us // 925.5 Receiving Yards, 5.5 Receiving TDs
Smith had 916 yards and five touchdowns during his rookie season in 2021 when he was playing in a passing offense that was often largely dysfunctional. Smith is a much better player now and in a much more dangerous offense, so why are these lines comparable to his rookie season production?
He produced 1196 yards and seven touchdowns in 2022 as the second option in a run-heavy scheme. These lines are criminally low.
Over 925.5 Receiving Yards, Over 5.5 Receiving TDs
Dallas Goedert Receiving TDs O/U: 3.5
Goedert had three touchdowns in 12 games last year, but he has never had more than five in any season. This is probably right where I would have his line as well. If he stays healthy, though, I think he should be able to get four touchdowns.
Over 3.5 Receiving TDs
D’Andre Swift Rushing Yards O/U // 525.5
This one is tough because it is hard to predict how exactly the Eagles will utilize Swift this season. If they give most of the early-down carries to Rashaad Penny and mostly use Swift as a pass-catcher, 526+ rushing yards feel unlikely, simply due to lack of opportunity.
This might not be a popular pick, but I would probably lean toward Under 525.5 Rushing Yards
Photo: Sam Hodde/Getty Images
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